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April 13th, 2018

Featured Guests

Peter Grandich, Bill Murphy & Listener's Q&A


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Show Highlights

  • Peter Grandich of Peter Grandich and Company and Pete Speaks returns with commentary on the US stock market and the PMs sector.
  • Topping the financial headlines; the trade war between Washington DC and China, as well as the new Shanghai gold backed yuan-petro futures exchange.
  • While our key trading partners, China / Russia continue to stockpile sound money, i.e., gold / silver, the West is doubling down on debt.
  • Students of Austrian Economics learn that debt = bondage; a concept well understood by the national founders.
  • Benjamin Franklin noted, "Rather go to bed without dinner than to rise in debt... If you know how to spend less than you get, you have the philosopher's stone..."
  • Thomas Jefferson famously said, "To preserve our independence, we must not let our rulers load us with perpetual debt."
  • More recently, Yogi Berra said, "You can observe alot, just by watching," in similar fashion, the national debt just topped $21 trillion, $21,000,000,000,000.
  • Current estimates of US Federal Deficit spending approaching $1 trillion, annually.
  • So it's not surprise to learn that one leading money manager, Seth Klarman, just advised clients to drastically increase cash levels in their investment portfolios.
  • Warren Buffett says that when he retires, there are three people he would like to manage his money. First is Seth Klarman of the Baupost Group.
  • Peter Grandich and the host share Seth Klarman's cautious outlook on US equities and related securities, at least until valuation metrics return to equilibrium levels.
  • The overextended S&P 500 price-to-earnings figure of 24, has a historical mean of of 15.70.
  • In comparison, the PMs sector remains a deeply discounted levels relative to paper assets as the commodities / S&P ratio suggests a new commodities bull market is imminent.
  • Top financial market technician, Clive Maund presents a compelling case for the resumption of the long-term silver bull market (figure 1.2.).
  • The host notes that India may outlaw Bitcoin / crypto wallets, setting the stage for improved demand in gold / silver, as millions abandon digital money for traditional safe haven alternatives.
  • The latest Listener's Q&A segment includes phone calls on the increasingly popular topics of silver and Bitcoin from Tom in Arizona, John in Sunny San Diego and an anonymous caller.
  • Tom starts off the segment, noting that he’s heard that many of the silver dealers are running low on their stockpiles and he wonders why the price remains subdued amid low supply.
  • John is also perplexed by the silver market scenario.
  • Chris suggests that the improving fundamentals have boosted the technical case for a renewed silver bull market.
  • For instance it appears that the downtrend was competed in 2015 and a solid base formed in 2016/2017 which could launch pad for a new advance to multi-year highs of $28-$30.
  • By observing the long-term trend, investors will gain insights into the strength / endurance of the silver price advance.
  • The second caller finds a correlation between the announcement of a BTC futures contract on the CBOE and the 100% advance in BTC in Dec. 2017, followed by a subsequent 50% decline.
  • Several key experts in the field refute the futures market thesis, citing instead seasonal factors combined with lack of liquidity.
  • In Dec. 2017, leading BTC exchanges turned down hundreds of thousands of applications for new accounts.
  • At one point Bitfinex accounts were actually put up for sale, for several thousands of dollars, online.
  • Large delays in buying Bitcoin, even on Coinbase, where investors were expected to overcome time-based hurdles as a security feature, to build trust over time added to a supply bottleneck. The situation accelerated demand to euphoric levels.
  • If the futures contract scenario were truly to blame then the readily available BTC ETF, ticker GBTC would be the go-to alternative and was actively traded on the NYSE since 2016.
  • Chris posits that the bottleneck scenario could return at the end of 2018/2019 as institutional investor demand increases.
  • As demand grows exponentially, futures and options markets may resize contracts to reflect dwindling supply, so that the typical contract size of 1 BTC could drop sharply.

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Guest Bios

Bill Murphy

GATA Chairman

Bill Murphy, GATA Chairman
Murphy grew up in Glen Ridge, N.J., and graduated from the School of Hotel Administration at Cornell University in 1968. In his senior year he broke all the Ivy League single-year pass-receving records. He then became a starting wide receiver for the Boston Patriots of the American Football League. He went on to work for various Wall Street brokerage firms and specialized in commodity futures. He began as a Merrill Lynch trainee and went on to Shearson Hayden Stone and Drexel Burnham. From there he became affiliated with introducing brokers and eventually started his own brokerage on 5th Avenue in New York. He now operates an Internet site for financial commentary, www.lemetropolecafe.com.


Peter Grandich

The Grandich Letter

About Peter Grandich
Managing Member, Grandich Publications, LLC.

With no formal education or training, Peter Grandich entered Wall Street and within three years was appointed Vice President of Investment Strategy for a leading New York Stock Exchange member firm. He was the editor and publisher of four investment newsletters, and appeared on national TV and radio over 400 times.

Labeled the Wall Street Whiz Kid, Grandich gained national notoriety by being among the very few who not only forecasted the 1987 stock market crash just weeks before it happened, but on the very next day he predicted that within a year the market would reach a new all-time high which it did. Proving his 1987 forecast was no fluke, Mr. Grandich said in January 2000 that the year 2000 will go down as the year the great mega bull market of the 80s and 90s came to an end.

He speaks at numerous major investment conferences worldwide and was awarded Best Speaker Award eight times by the International Investors Conferences.

Grandich is the founder and managing member of Grandich Publications, LLC. Grandich Publications publishes The Grandich Letter. First published in 1984, it provides commentary on the mining and metals markets. In addition, the company also provides a variety of services to publicly-held corporations on a compensation basis.

In addition, Grandich is a member of the National Association of Christian Financial Consultants, and a long-standing member of The New York Society of Security Analysts and The Society of Quantitative Analysts.

To visit the web page, please click here.


2018 Archives

Eagle Plains Resources Ltd. CEO, Tim J. Termuende, Bix Weir, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - April 6, 2018.

Arch Crawford, Bix Weir, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - March 30th, 2018.

Peter Schiff, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - March 23th, 2018.

Gerald Celente, Wolf Richter, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - March 16th, 2018.

Ralph Acampora, Arch Crawford, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - March 9th, 2018.

Andrew Maguire, CEO Thomas Coughlin, Lior Gantz, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - March 2nd, 2018.

Bill Murphy, Andy Schectman, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - February 24th, 2018.

Arch Crawford, Chris Blasi, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - February 16th, 2018.

John Scurci, Charles Nenner, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - February 2nd, 2018.

Professor Laurence Kotlikoff, Andrew Maguire, ABX CEO, Thomas Coughlin, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - January 26, 2018.

Dr. Marc Faber, Louis Navellier, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - January 19, 2018.

Bill Murphy, Arch Crawford, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - January 12, 2018.

David Morgan, Bix Weir, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - January 5, 2018.

2017 Archives

Bill Murphy, CEO Dylan Senter, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - December 29th, 2017.

Bob Hoye, Richard Daughty, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - December 22nd, 2017.

John Embry, Charles Hughes Smith, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - December 15th, 2017.

Peter Schiff, Dan Norcini, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - December 8th, 2017.

CCO Giovanni Lesna, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - December 1st, 2017.

Peter Grandich, Andy Schectman, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - November 24th, 2017.

John Williams, Louis Navellier, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - November 17th, 2017.

Gerald Celente, John Scurci, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - November 10th, 2017.

CMT Ralph Acampora, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - November 3rd, 2017.

Bob Hoye, Arch Crawford, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - October 27, 2017.

Peter Grandich, Harry S. Dent Jr., CTO Gab Rigo, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - October 20, 2017.

Peter Schiff, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - October 13, 2017.

James Rickards, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - October 6, 2017.

Martin Armstrong, Nick Barisheff, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - September 29, 2017.

Chris Blasi, Andy Schectman, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - September 22, 2017.

David Morgan, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - September 15, 2017.

Dr. Stephen Leeb, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - September 8, 2017.

Louis Navellier, John Williams, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - September 1, 2017.

Arch Crawford, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - August 25, 2017.

Joseph Grosso, Dr. Stephen Leeb, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - August 18, 2017.

Gerald Celente, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - August 11, 2017.

Peter Schiff, Dr. Stephen Leeb, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - August 4, 2017.

Jim Rogers, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - July 28, 2017.

Peter Grandich, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - July 21, 2017.

Michael Marcovici, Chris Martenson Ph.D., Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - July 14, 2017.

Martin Armstrong Part II., Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - July 7, 2017.

Peter Schiff, Martin Armstrong, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - June 30, 2017.

Gerald Celente, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - June 23, 2017.

Dr. Stephen Leeb, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - June 16, 2017.

Bill Murphy, David McAlvaney, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - June 9, 2017.

John Williams, Arch Crawford, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - June 2, 2017.

John Scurci, Peter Grandich, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - May 26, 2017.

Professor Laurence Kotlikoff, Dr. Paul Wilmott, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - May 19, 2017.

Bill Murphy, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - May 12, 2017.

Michael Eastham, Chris Martenson Ph.D., Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - May 5, 2017.

Gerald Celente, Michael Pento, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - April 28, 2017.

Louis Navellier, Chris Powell, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - April 21, 2017.

Peter Schiff, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - April 14, 2017.

Jeffrey Nichols & Harry S. Dent Jr. ,Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - April 7, 2017.

Martin Armstrong, David Morgan, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - March 31, 2017.

Dr. Paul Craig Roberts, Peter Spina, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - March 24, 2017.

Peter Grandich, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - March 17, 2017.

Bill Murphy, John Williams, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - March 10, 2017.

Andrew Maguire, John Embry, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - March 3, 2017.

Andy Schectman, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - Feb. 24, 2017.

Rob Kirby, Bix Weir, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - Feb. 17, 2017.

John Williams, Peter Grandich, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - Feb. 10, 2017.

Jim Rogers, Charles Hughes Smith, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - Feb. 3, 2017.

Ralph Acampora, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - Jan. 27, 2017.

David Morgan, Bob Hoye, Listener's Q&A, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - Jan. 20, 2017.

Professor Lawrence Kotlikoff, Peter Eliades, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - Jan. 13, 2017.

Gerald Celente, Peter Grandich, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - Jan. 6, 2017.

2016 Archives

Dr. Chris Martenson, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - Dec. 30, 2016.

John Williams, Peter Schiff, David Morgan & Peter Grandich, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian (partial encore) - Dec. 23, 2016.

Louis Navellier, Arch Crawford, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - Dec. 16, 2016.

Bill Murphy, Bob Hoye , Chris Waltzek & Robert Ian - Dec. 9, 2016.

John Embry, Rob Kirby, Chris Waltzek & Robert Ian - Dec. 2, 2016.

John Williams, Peter Schiff, Chris Waltzek & Robert Ian - Nov. 25, 2016.

Bill Murphy, Karl Denninger, Chris Waltzek & Robert Ian - Nov. 18, 2016.

Dr. Stephen Leeb, Jeffrey Nichols, Chris Waltzek & Robert Ian - Nov. 11, 2016.

Axel Merk, Harry S. Dent Jr., Chris Waltzek & Robert Ian - Nov. 4, 2016.

Byron King, Bill Murphy & Jeffrey Nichols, Chris Waltzek & Robert Ian - Oct. 28, 2016.

Jim Rogers, Peter Eliades, Dr. Chris Martenson, & Jeffrey Nichols, Chris Waltzek & Robert Ian (encore).- Oct. 21, 2016.

Robert Kiyosaki, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek & Robert Ian - Oct. 7, 2016.

President Joseph Grosso, Arch Crawford, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Sept. 30, 2016.

Gerald Celente, Nick Barisheff, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Sept. 23, 2016.

Jeffrey Nichols, Kevin Kerr, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Sept. 16, 2016.

Bill Murphy, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Sept. 9, 2016.

.Dr. Paul Craig Roberts, John Embry, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Sept. 2, 2016.

Dr. Laurence Kotlikoff, Louis Navellier, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Aug. 26, 2016.

Ralph Acampora, Harry S. Dent Jr. Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Aug. 19, 2016.

Jim Rogers & Peter Eliades, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Aug. 05, 2016.

Bill Murphy, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - July 29, 2016.

Dr. Stephen Leeb, Kevin Kerr, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - July 22, 2016.

Gerald Celente , Peter Grandich, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - July 15, 2016.

Joseph Grosso, Peter Grandich, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - July 8, 2016.

Bob Hoye, James Machuga, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - July 1, 2016.

Dr. Chris Martenson, Jeffrey Nichols, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - June 24, 2016.

Jim Rogers, John Williams, Martin Armstrong, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian (encore) - June 17, 2016.

Robert Kiyosaki, Dr. Stephen Leeb, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - June 10, 2016.

Bill Murphy, David Morgon, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - June 3, 2016.

Gerald Celente, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - May 27, 2016.

Ralph Acampora, Peter Grandich, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - May 20, 2016.

David Gurwitz, Jordan Roy-Byrne, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - May 13, 2016.

Arch Crawford, Louis Navellier, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - May 6, 2016.

Monty Guild, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - April 29, 2016.

Peter Grandich, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - April 22, 2016.

Robert Kiyosaki, Dr. Marc Faber, Professor Burton Malkiel, Marin Aleksov, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian (encore) - April 15, 2016.

John Embry, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - April 8, 2016.

Jim Rogers, John Williams, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - April 1, 2016.

Jim Rogers, John Williams, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - April 1, 2016.

Harry S. Dent, Jr., Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - March 25, 2016.

Dr. Stephen Leeb and Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - March 18, 2016.

David Morgan and Dr. Chris Martenson, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - March 11, 2016.

James Turk, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - March 04, 2016.

Monty Guild, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Feb. 26, 2016.

Louis Navellier, Martin Armstrong, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Feb. 19, 2016.

James Turk, John Williams, Yannis Tsitos, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian (encore) - Feb. 12, 2016.

Jeffrey Nichols, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Feb. 5, 2016.

Robert Kiyosaki, Marin Aleksov, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Jan. 29, 2016.

CEO Amir Adnani, Nick Barisheff, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Jan. 22, 2016.

Dr. Marc Faber, Dr. Burton Malkiel, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Jan. 15, 2016.

Jim Rogers, Peter Schiff, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Jan. 08, 2016.

Martin Armstrong, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek and Robert Ian - Jan. 01, 2016.

2006 - 2016 Archives

 

 

 

 

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RECENT GUEST INTERVIEWS

Eagle Plains Resources Ltd. CEO, Tim J. Termuende & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - April 4th, 2018

 

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Part II. Bix Weir & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - April 5th, 2018.

 

 

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Arch Crawford & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - March 28th, 2018.

 

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Part I. Bix Weir & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - March 29, 2018.

 

 

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Peter Schiff & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - March 21st, 2018.

 

 

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Bill Murphy & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - March 22nd, 2018.

 

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Gerald Celente & Chris G. Waltzek Ph.D. - March 15, 2018.

 

 

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Wolf Richter & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - March 14th, 2018.

 

 

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Ralph Acampora & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - March 8th, 2018.

 

 

 

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Arch Crawford & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - March 7th, 2018.

 

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Kinesis Founder Thomas Coughlin, Andrew Maguire

& Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - February 28th, 2018.

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PART II - EPIC GLOBAL EXCLUSIVE!**

Lior Gantz & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - March 1st, 2018.

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Bill Murphy & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - February 21st, 2018.

 

 

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Andy Schectman & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - February 22nd, 2018.**

 

 

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Peter Grandich & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - February 14th, 2018.

 

 

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Arch Crawford & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - February 15, 2018.

 

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  • Arch Crawford, head of Crawford Perspectives, continues to caution US equities investors that the correction could continue in 2018.

President Chris Blasi - Neptune Global & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - February 7th, 2018.

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Nick Barisheff & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - February 8th, 2018.

 

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Charles Nenner & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - February 1st, 2018.

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John Scurci & Chris G. Waltzek Ph.D. - January 30th, 2017.

 

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Professor Laurence Kotlikoff & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - January 25th, 2018.

 

 

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ABX CEO Thomas Coughlin, Andrew Maguire

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Dr. Marc Faber & Chris Waltzek - January 17, 2018.

 

 

 

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  • Globally renowned economist and editor of the GloomBoomDoom report, Dr. Marc Faber returns with his outlook on the financial markets for 2018.

Bill Murphy & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - January 11th, 2018.

 

 

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  • Bill Murphy of GATA.org, returns with extremely bullish comments on the PMs.

Arch Crawford & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - January 10th, 2018.

 

 

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Bix Weir & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - January 4th, 2018.

 

 

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David Morgan & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - January 3rd, 2018.

 

 

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Spectiv CEO Dylan Senter, Nick & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - December 28th, 2017.

 

 

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Bill Murphy & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - November 30, 2017.

 

 

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Richard Daughty & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - December 21th, 2017.

 

 

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Bob Hoye & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - December 20th, 2017.

 

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John Embry & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - December 14th, 2017.

 

 

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Peter Schiff & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - December 6th, 2017.

 

 

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Dan Norcini & Chris Waltzek Ph.D. - December 7th, 2017.

 

 

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2006 - 20018 radio.goldseek.com, Chris G. Waltzek / Gold Seek LLC